Given that the Republicans have a significant surge as they are closing out the campaign.
Arizona: Probably 50/50 that Lake can drag Masters across the finish line with her.
Pennsylvania: In the battle of giant turds, Oz has actually pulled ahead and has higher odds. Fetterman should have pulled out of this race, but the overweening ego that ALL politicians have blinded him to this fact.
Colorado: O’Dea has done well in the closing days, but given the overall makeup of the State, Bennet will likely narrowly win this.
Georgia: Walker will likely pull this off and that woman that came forward with the abortion story might have helped. People might have dismissed it as a fake stunt, particularly given the very suspicious timing right before the election.
Nevada: Laxalt is surging at the perfect time. Laxalt for the win here.
New Hampshire: Molduc got very close, but has run out of steam at the end. Hassan will narrowly win this.
Ohio: Vance has put this one away.
Washington: Murray wins this by about 2 points.
Wisconsin: Johnson by about 2 or 3 points.
So holding Arizona as a true tossup.
Republicans gain Georgia and Nevada.
52 Republicans
47 Democrats
Arizona to be determined.
Now IF (and that is a big IF) there is a Republican wave the polls have not picked up, that would push Masters across the finish line and, perhaps, give Republicans Colorado and New Hampshire.
55 Republicans
45 Democrats
But I would not hold my breath on that.
As for the House.
Republicans START from 219 seats, one more than a majority.
They will likely take the large majority of the Democrat held tossup seats, currently 17. Probably will pick off about 5 of the 25 Lean Democrat seats.
219+(13 of 17)+5=237 seats.
Even if they have a total lackluster night, they will still have a comfortable House majority.