using the averages from poll agglomeraters and applying the 2/3 to challenger rule and assuming 3% to other:
RCP: Harris 48.6 to Trump 48.4
270 to win: Harris 48.7 to Trump 48.3
538: Harris 48.83 to Trump 48.17
Silver: Harris 48.9 to Trump 48.1
The Hill: Harris 48.63 to Trump 48.37
Electoral Vote: Harris 49.13 to Trump 47.87
Cook Political report: Harris 49 to Trump 48
My guess?
Harris 48.53 to Trump 48.47 (+/- 47 points)
Roughly 750K votes give or take 80M
1 Like