POLLS, trustworthy or not?

[YLBD]

Most don’t read the books n letters in the bible, they allow others to do so and they end up following words they shouldn’t, and when the blind follow the blind, both shall fall into the ditch

[armycowboy]

@Bomberfox

I bend my knee to no god. It is no hubris to refuse, but liberating. Especially when no gods present sufficient evidence to show they exist nor present a holy book that contains accurate historical information or humane moral guidelines. To top that off, expects me to just believe narratives that contradict how the world works under threat no god worthy of such affection would ever threate

Agree completely. Funny thing is, christians have rejected literally thousands of gods. I’ve merely rejcted one more than they have.

[YLBD]

That’s why its written, “I Never Knew you” Jesus himself will say to those that stand before him. Christians better wake up and stop following the BS that’s been passed down to them and start figuring it out, not much time for it.

[Blackwolf]

That’s different, Donny T had to do that to get around Congress’s satanic obstruction.

[sikofit]

@YLBD

Most don’t read the books n letters in the bible, they allow others to do so and they end up following words they shouldn’t, and when the blind follow the blind, both shall fall into the ditc

Is that where Trump went wrong?

Love of Trump covers a multitude of sins for Christian conservatives

Trump embodies every one of the Seven Deadly Sins

[GrandWazoo]

Anyone here remember the hub-bub when the unskewed polls site came out? And after the election the founder said that he would have been right if he had factored in voter fraud? Those were some funny times.

[biggestal99]

@YLBD

I find it very strange when I see a poll say 78% of Americans are for or against something, and then I see that ONLY 1000 people have been asked, very strange that people believe that 1000 people have the pulse of 320 million, News outlets love them, it gives them BS to talk bout as if it was a real thing! IF you believe that 1000 people have the pulse of America, you’re as special kind of stupid!
SO, Trustworthy or Not?

polls trustworthy?

Lets examine the evidence

here is the 538 page for my congressional district (the infamous NJ-07, home to the summer white house Trump National)

New Jersey 7th - 2018 House Forecast

as you can see really small samples for polling (365?)

the 538 prediction was Malinowski 51 Lance 46

and the results

New Jersey’s Seventh House District Election Results: Tom Malinowski vs....

Malinowski 52 Lance 47

LOL.

the answer to your question. Trustworthy. Very trustworthy.

Thanks for asking.

Allan

[Bomberfox]

@YLBD

That’s why its written, “I Never Knew you” Jesus himself will say to those that stand before him. Christians better wake up and stop following the BS that’s been passed down to them and start figuring it out, not much time for it.

Christianity was the thing that was passed down to me as well as several other people. What are you talking about? Its fine if Jesus never knew me. Its not something i lose sleep over.

[Bomberfox]

Trump has not shown that he has asked the forgiveness of anyone.The man child everyone saw at CPAC is what Trump has always been his entire life.

[LucyLou]

@YLBD

Most don’t read the books n letters in the bible, they allow others to do so and they end up following words they shouldn’t, and when the blind follow the blind, both shall fall into the ditch

Ironic post, considering the gutter that trump prefers dwelling in…

[Forcefield]

@YLBD

It was wrong, Trump won that state,lmao

Polls are statistics, not prophetic. If you’re approaching them as “right” or “wrong” then you don’t understand them.

[theduke]

@YLBD

I find it very strange when I see a poll say 78% of Americans are for or against something, and then I see that ONLY 1000 people have been asked, very strange that people believe that 1000 people have the pulse of 320 million, News outlets love them, it gives them BS to talk bout as if it was a real thing! IF you believe that 1000 people have the pulse of America, you’re as special kind of stupid!
SO, Trustworthy or Not?

Did you take statistics in college(it’s not usually taught in HS). Probably not. There are free YouTube courses that will give you rough feel for how they work. Maybe a little self improvement will go a long way relieving you angsty.

[Chris]

I remember a pollster on the local news here right before the midterm election, that he thought that GOP McSally was going to win the Senate race over Sinema race due to the high support of rural voters for McSally. While McSally did do well among the rural areas by winning 10 out of the 15 counties in our state, Sinema ended up winning the Senate election by doing very well in the Phoenix area. The pollster was right about McSally doing well among rural voters, but he didn’t really know that Sinema would end up doing very well among urban voters in the Phoenix area that would lead her to victory.

[Borgia_dude]

@Chris

I remember a pollster on the local news here right before the midterm election, that he thought that GOP McSally was going to win the Senate race over Sinema race due to the high support of rural voters for McSally. While McSally did do well among the rural areas by winning 10 out of the 15 counties in our state, Sinema ended up winning the Senate election by doing very well in the Phoenix area. The pollster was right about McSally doing well among rural voters, but he didn’t really know that Sinema would end up doing very well among urban voters in the Phoenix area that would lead her to victory.

Classic sampling error.

[AmusedObserver]

@Forcefield

Polls are statistics, not prophetic. If you’re approaching them as “right” or “wrong” then you don’t understand them.

According to the polls, your statement is 110% correct.