Past 36 Elections -States Won By 10 Percent

During the 2016 campaign I was tracking all the States polls everyday on Real Clear Politics. And updating many times a day.

I was also keeping track of how many States Trump and Clinton had double digit leads in.

Trump was ahead in this category the whole time.
It was was on several indicators I was using to predict Trump’s victory.
No one on television who I saw ever mentioned this.
It was 100 percent my own idea.

Double Digit margin wins in the States in Presidential elections can show us several things.

Polls can predict the winner

It can show if and how the country is divided, that is, is the country divide between states, or within each state.

The results can show a shift in voting patterns in terms of geography and party base.

Here is a list I made as part of my 2016 election data

G - 5 - PAST 36 ELECTIONS -STATES WON BY 10 PERCENT

Data Compiled From
Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections - County Data

Below is the number of States each Party won by 10.00 percent or higher for the past 36 Presidential elections.

Only three times did the winner of the election win less States by 10.00 percent or higher than the loser.

2012 = Romney lost to Obama
1960 = Nixon lost to Kennedy
1880 = Garfield beat Hancock (when I post, the 2nd name is going to be blacked out I think because the posting software sees it as a bad word)

Kennedy won with the fewest States won by 10.00 percent or higher, 5 States.

W = Won election

2016
DEM 13
REP 20 W

2012
DEM 15 W
REP 20

2008
DEM 20 W
REP 15

2004
DEM 6
REP 22 W

2000
DEM 10
REP 18 W

1996
DEM 20 W
REP 6

1992
DEM 13 W
REP 3

1988
DEM 2
REP 28 W

1984
DEM 0
REP 43 W

1980
DEM 2
REP 24 W

1976
DEM 10 W
REP 9

1972
DEM 0
REP 45 W

1968
DEM 5
REP 14 W

1964
DEM 38 W
REP 4

1960
DEM 5 W
REP 9

1956
DEM 4
REP 35 W

1952
DEM 4
REP 28 W

1948
DEM 14 W
REP 2

1944
DEM 17 W
REP 4

1940
DEM 17 W
REP 4

1936
DEM 42 W
REP 2

1932
DEM 37 W
REP 2

1928
DEM 5
REP 32 W

1924
DEM 10
REP 25 W

1920
DEM 9
REP 36 W

1916
DEM 20 W
REP 4

1912
DEM 24 W
PRO 0

1908
DEM 9
REP 23 W

1904
DEM 11
REP 30 W

1900
DEM 12
REP 18 W

1896
DEM 14
REP 17 W

1892
DEM 12 W
REP 4

1888
DEM 9
REP 9 W

1884
DEM 9 W
REP 8

1880
DEM 10
REP 9 W

1876
DEM 12 W
REP 8

Cool.

Did any of the states won by the 10%+ ever flip right back on an incumbent running for a second term?

We can see that in the Data. We can see it happened in 1992 to GH Bush. Perot was the main factor though, taking away margins.