Much has been made of Korea, Singapore, Hong Kong and their results in this pandemic.
If we had followed their strategy and admitting our error in testing, we could have done something different.
If we had isolated and locked down
New York
New Jersey
Michigan
Louisiana
Massachusetts
Illinois
California
On January 1st, we could have eliminated 90% (your number) of 75% of the deaths and all of the hospital overload.
NYC is always going to be a problem. So next time there is a hint of a viral respiratory epidemic anywhere in the world and even if we don’t have testing, tracking, etc. our first step should be to completely lock down New York City and surrounding areas.
This will allow us to keep the economy functioning, protect the hospital system and manage the numbers.
Seems like a hassle, pulling the drawbridges up on all those states every time there’s a hint of something.
It’s easier just to elect people who do a good job responding to such events with sound judgement. Why even take the human factor out of it? A good human factor is extremely profitable, economically.
And, Texas would probably have to be included. Ebola in America started there. That’s the top three producing states closing automatically at the drop of a hat.
This story incites panic? People went and bought toilet paper in mass because a nurse claimed she did not get a mask?
“Because they did”
You mean in THIS case you don’t need data to make a decision? Just feelings? Say it isn’t so.
Anyway, I think your plan is good. Looks similar to after action plans I’ve done after an incident. Find the most vulnerable spots and harden for the future.
Effective for what? Not a respiratory infection. Personally I think locking down all big cities immediately might be too much. How about we lock them down in phases?
Say NYC and surrounding area immediately, no questions asked.
Phase 2 would be have a case or 10 in the state - lock down the big cities in that state immediately.