Mulvaney: Cruz could lose


Most of the population of Texas lives within the 6 largest metro areas. In fact, over 70% do. It only takes the top 3 MSAs to get over 50%.


They’re really crushing him, showing how he skateboarded and was in a punk band and jammed with Willie Nelson and says ■■■■ a lot. Lol


Only a mother could love this face…


I just spent the last 15 minutes on her twitter feed and I don’t regret it.


Antecdotal, but I’m seeing a lot more enthusiasm for Beto here. I’ve seen some “Beto for Senate” shirts and tons of yard signs. I haven’t seen a single one for Cruz. And I live in Tx-27, which is a red district.


Romney had more yard signs than Obama.



No he wont


I live in an area of Dallas that went for Trump, but there were hardly any yard signs of Trump compared to Hillary. Most people just dont do that in this area.
You are correct…anecdotal.


I think Cruz will win, but I think he’ll underperform Trump’s 9.6% margin of victory.


Also, although cities like DFW and Houston are liberal, aren’t the outlying communities fairly conservative? Rs tend to do well in suburbs.

There are a few reasons why I think Cruz will win. The first is Greg Abbott is expected to coast to reelection, and I can’t see that many people splitting the ticket.

Also, Cruz won more primary votes than all the other Ds running combined, and Cruz had no real credible challenger.

And finally… it’s Texas.


While I agree Cruz will win, Texas isn’t nearly as red as most people believe.


You can do a deep dive by precinct here:


It’s not as red as Louisiana or SC for sure, but still red.


Trump won Texas by fewer than 10%. That’s quite a bit less than many other states.


So? I’ve seen polls with Greg Abbott having as much as a 20 point lead. Maybe Texans just like Abbott a lot better than Trump.

I’d certainly be pleased to vote for Abbott if I lived in Texas. In fact I’d be thrilled to have him, instead of the idiot I’m stuck with.


Cruz = beta cuck, for sure


Rapey Face


The funny part is that there were people here, who constantly brag about predicting Trump’s win, who made the yard sign claim. I was a lurker then and I remember specifically that whole embarrassing fiasco.


If Cruz loses I’ll survive. It’ll certainly be a huge story if this upstart Beto wins. We need a few people in the senate who still have a pulse to shake things up


I do not doubt that Texas leans toward the right and has more Republicans than Democrats.

The point you’re missing from my post is that many Republicans and conservatives are leaning toward O’Rourke. His rallies are filled with a people who are conservative, libertarian, moderate, and liberal.

If Cruz continues to lose ground and doesn’t have a motivated base, he will most certainly lose.

It’s rather naive to ignore the hidden voter base or the fact that O’Rourke is being new voters to the table.