This is low. CNN launching an unprovoked personal attack against Dr. Deborah Birx of the U.S. Coronavirus team. Among other things calling her a “Stepford Doc.” Good Lord, how sexist is that? She has done nothing to deserve this type of hate. This from Joe Lockhart. A man who probably has less than half of her I.Q. Lockhart should be fired or suspended for his anti woman comments. Or fired for basic stupidity.
I will ask my fellow board members to please stay on topic. This is not a general thread regarding Trump or anything else that has already been discussed 100 times. My thread is meant to discuss the specifics of this case. Thanks in advance.
I disagree with Dr. Birx on one thing. Actually, I should say I conditionally disagree with her.
So these are the things we are looking at, because the predictions of the models don’t match the reality on the ground in China, South Korea, or Italy. We are five times the size of Italy. If we were Italy and you did all those divisions, Italy should have close to 400,000 deaths. They are not close to achieving that.
My conditional disagreement with her is…China, South Korea, and Italy (as well as pretty much every nation in the world now) are actively interfering in the spread of the virus, in many cases with draconian measures.
So…when Dr. Birx says “the model doesn’t match the reality on the ground”, is she taking into account these active interference measures and trying to estimate what effect they are having?
Because if not, this is a false statement.
For example, the Oxford paper, which is essentially the antithesis of the Imperial College paper, uses in its models a hospitalization rate that Italy has already exceeded in its hottest of hot spots even with control measures in place…and you have to remember the Oxford hospitalization rate is what they expect when the pandemic has run its course.
What should really be said is our data set is biased…it’s biased towards people sick enough to get a test (more comprehensive testing has been done in places, but mostly it’s just been tests of people sick enough to warrant a test)…and it’s biased because we have altered its normal progression via our distancing efforts.
The media has another problem. Apparently people tune into those Trump briefings…so media is discussing way to cut back on them or not even showing em at all.
As for Dr. Deborah Birx…she seems to be rising start out of this.
As for Joe Lockhart…who the ■■■■ is he? Another Trump bushing hater from CNN. And yes…he’s using this crises to farther left-wing political agenda. Which BTW we cannot discuss.