We find that as the county unemployment rate increases by 1 percentage point, the opioid death rate per 100,000 people rises by 0.19
News report say that unemployment claims increased to 3.3 million since the widespread lockdowns.
That number of unemployment claims out of 130 million workers corresponds to a 2.5% increase in unemployment rate. The corresponding increase in annual deaths is:
2.5% x .19deaths/100000 people/% x 300,000,000 people = 7500 deaths
That figure is just from the effect of increased opioid deaths. Other deaths may increase as well.
How do we minimize economic damage while reducing risk of spreading infections?
How do we make sure that quarantines are a net benefit to society?