Hurricane Helene

Safiel · 2024-09-25T22:05:52.623Z

Above are the classic and new experimental NHC cones. The new cone gives the expected extent of hurricane force and tropical storm force damage inland.

Possibly a Category 4 with 140 MPH winds at landfall. Pretty much a perfect environment for this storm to grow.

Interestingly, I am only about 50 miles outside the tropical storm impact area, though we are looking at 5 or more inches of rain and flash floods in this area. Thankfully, my place sits literally on the edge of watershed, so everything flows downhill from here.

SixFoot · 2024-09-26T01:30:02.702Z

Another slow hurricane season thanks to global warming.

rp5x5 · 2024-09-26T04:31:21.241Z

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Safiel · 2024-09-26T04:36:50.448Z

The track actually takes it just west of the City of Tallahassee, which means that Tallahassee will bear the heaviest brunt of the storm on the east side.

Now projected to reach Atlanta as a Tropical Storm.

They have upped the rain forecast to about 8 inches in my area. Thankfully, I can watch it flow downhill to be somebody else’s problem.

DMK · 2024-09-26T11:17:39.730Z

Experiencing the bands and wind right now.

bigtwnvin · 2024-09-26T12:15:22.062Z

Same here in Palm Beach county. There was a tornado warning west around 0730.

DMK · 2024-09-26T12:52:10.763Z

bigtwnvin:

Same here in Palm Beach county. There was a tornado warning west around 0730.

Yup, I saw that. I’m on the SW Coast.

Safiel · 2024-09-26T15:34:23.044Z

image897×736 82.6 KB

From the 11:00 am update.

All of southwest Florida is in the tropical storm wind field. Looks like southeast Florida is just going to get brushed or miss the tropical storm wind field altogether.

But it is a huge wind field. Looks like it will catch the Orlando area in about another hour or two.

W_and_C · 2024-09-26T15:39:09.428Z

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TheRedComet · 2024-09-26T15:41:51.589Z

Protect the alligators!!!

wonderingrover · 2024-09-26T16:10:39.093Z

I’m in North GA directly in the path of Helene, but it is predicted to be a tropical storm with 50 - 70 mph winds by the time it gets here. Fortunately, there are now rivers or anything close to me - there will be a lot of rain and flooding. The biggest concern here is massive power outages from trees and power lines being blown down - they are talking like it may run into the hundreds of thousands.

bigtwnvin · 2024-09-26T16:42:10.244Z

A storm could level inhabited areas and reduce it to a wasteland. The gators would still be there.

TheRedComet · 2024-09-26T16:44:56.752Z

They are survivors that’s for true.

bigtwnvin · 2024-09-26T16:58:08.502Z

Only pro wranglers should get close to these buggers. Dumbasses who walk their dogs too close to a lake or canal not paying attention sometimes have an unfortunate encounter. There have been small children taken, the Gator doesn’t eat right away it grabs prey, drowns it then feasts later. They’ll occasionally stroll across a fairway and golfers try shooing them off Gator isn’t impressed. Prehistoric animal, kinda fascinating.

Gaius · 2024-09-26T17:44:41.362Z

Safiel:

image897×736 82.6 KB

From the 11:00 am update.

All of southwest Florida is in the tropical storm wind field. Looks like southeast Florida is just going to get brushed or miss the tropical storm wind field altogether.

But it is a huge wind field. Looks like it will catch the Orlando area in about another hour or two.

Well this update indicates its gonna park and sit for 24 hours right over . . . . (checks map)
Clarksville Tennessee and Fort Campbell Kentucky.

Safiel · 2024-09-26T18:01:16.911Z

Gaius:

Well this update indicates its gonna park and sit for 24 hours right over . . . . (checks map)
Clarksville Tennessee and Fort Campbell Kentucky.

And Nashville also.

FreeAndClear · 2024-09-27T14:06:09.695Z

For anybody who understands weather patterns. How does it turn left like that over the continental us. I don’t think i have ever seen that before. I could be wrong though but it feels like they always go east

Liberty323 · 2024-09-27T14:11:18.349Z

Yeah, the combination of very soggy ground along with high winds means a lot of trees could come down. Hopefully you all make it without losing power.

Safiel · 2024-09-27T16:11:42.930Z

FreeAndClear:

For anybody who understands weather patterns. How does it turn left like that over the continental us. I don’t think i have ever seen that before. I could be wrong though but it feels like they always go east

I was looking at the surface map (i.e. the one with fronts and high and low pressure centers). Unusual lack of high pressure in the eastern United States, which is what normally steers the storms rapidly to the northeast. Instead, there is an approaching cold front, which is what is drawing this storm slightly to the northwest.

Safiel · 2024-09-27T16:12:46.790Z

Tallahassee got lucky. The storm wobbled east just before landfall and Taylor County and the City of Perry ended up getting the worst of the impact.