Good News!? March Jobs Report

In olden days this was a monthly thing so I’ll try to start it again. Below is the link to the monthly jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics:

https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Decent report. Job growth continues despite economic warning signs. This is throwing off economists. And the Fed. Everyone, and I mean everyone, thought jobs growth would have cooled off way faster by now. Last two months were updated for the numbers being a 17,000 lower, but the average job growth for the year is still at 345,000 per month. Wage growth is decent, but still below current inflation. That’s not good. And labor participation is still trending up. Not yet to pre pandemic levels but slowly getting closer. So overall I think it’s a decent report. If it had been bad that would really be a problem, but pretty close to expectations. What are people’s thoughts? I realize this thread will degenerate, but I’m curious on people’s thoughts on the data.

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Is robust job growth still good news when the fed policy is to curb job growth to lower inflation?

Good question. I don’t know the answer. I personally think they’re just looking for leveling out of job growth so they can ease up on the rate… But also keep in mind that we need about 100,000 per month job growth just to keep up with population growth. I have to double check that number but I think it’s about right. I’m sure I’m off.

They reported on the radio that about 50,000 of those jobs were Gubmint jobs. :roll_eyes:

You know you could also read the actual report. 47,000 just for the record(I’m glad radio man was close). And then you can look at the rest of the data and take it as a whole. Not just evil “gubmint” jobs and it gives perspective on the labor status of the country as a whole. We’re still well below pre pandemic “gubmint” jobs.

Correct, and the “still” part is concerning.
Last year American income-earners lost a whopping 6.4% vs inflation. That’s the highest gap since the Great Depression. (Worse than during the mortgage crisis, worse than the 1980s etc.) any continuation of that, even a small one, is concerning.

The March employment increase of 236,000 includes the following:

  • Government employment increased by 47,000 jobs
  • Leisure and hospitality added 72,000 jobs
  • Health care added 34,000 jobs

I’m not saying you’re wrong on the whole highest gap since the Great Depression, but do you have a link for that? Because that doesn’t seem right.

Good News!!!(???)!!one!!

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Available from one of my posts a few months ago
and available here.:

.
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Note that same Fed link indicates Real disposable incomes climbed slightly this year. That is good news, workers are getting back some of last years’ net loss, but is contrary to

See also

But perhaps most troubling is the precipitous drop in real disposable income, which fell over $1 trillion in 2022.

Here:

That takes me back. When that title used to crash the website. Ha!

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robust job growth… are there more female crew teams now?

I know, I know…

The 'rats are going down with the ship. :wink:

With all this inflation, we are all broke now on Guadalcanal.

LOL There’s a guy I follow on twitter, he manages a multimillion dollar ETF Using a long-term Buffet/Lynch type strategy (which prohibits him from investing bearishly during bear markets.)

Here is his pinned tweet:
https://twitter.com/EddyElfenbein/status/1268886501003341825?s=20

There’s another actual joke there. At the previous Hannity site that combination of “Good News??!!” Whatever used to actually jack up the actual website if that was the title of the thread. That’s really the joke Torey is making. It’s an old school joke and the mod has to tell us to not use that combination of question marks and exclamation points because the site literally couldn’t handle it. It was the craziest thing.

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Excellent news.

and the hits keep on coming 336,000 jobs created in September 2023.

who knew?

Allan

The economy would have rebounded much better and a couple of years back minus Brandon and his economy crushing policies.

Without his inflation to boot.

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how does US inflation compare to worlwide economies?