We could make concrete too.
zantax
244
Wouldn’t bet against it, robotics and machine learning are getting pretty good and they both progresses exponentially.
Samm
245
Of course … all of which need to be flown to Mars and safely landed on the surface. Quite an undertaking.
zantax
246
Musk dropped payload costs by a factor of ten and says can do it again, I wouldn’t bet against him.
Samm
247
And?
Reducing cost doesn’t make the difficultly any less, it just makes it more affordable … or rather less unaffordable.
zantax
248
Of course lowering costs makes it less difficult. That isn’t arguable.
Samm
249
No … the technical difficulties are the same. It’s just easier to come up with the money to try doing it.
zantax
250
No, the technical difficulties change with cost, Mass for radiation shielding as one example. Drop the cost of orbit payload by a factor of ten, you increased mass shielding by a factor of ten.
Samm
251
Tonnage doesn’t need to worry about radiation. That’s only an issue for people. Musk hasn’t solved that problem. He also hasn’t really resolved the risk to people that landing on the surface involves, nor has he figured out how to get anyone who survives the landing back to Earth. Listening to him talk, it sounds like he is expecting a maned mission to Mars to be a one way trip.
zantax
252
As it stands, it is a one way trip.
tnt
253
Wow. Cool premise for a sci fi book…
First the implications of a one way mission…the Mars explorers will land on Mars, explore for two years. When their food and oxygen supplies run out they will take cynide pills and milk themselves…is that ethical? Are they hero’s of fools or chumps?
Then, of course, they discover something that changes everything!!!
zantax
254
Just a fact, 120% of allowable radiation for a return trip at present. And that is if they are lucky. The radiation problem hasn’t been solved as of yet. Doubt they go until it is solved.
tnt
255
Right - that’s why the crew plans on killing themselves in the name of science.
But, then they stumble across the crew from the FIRST mission! How can they be alive! They sent the message that they were ingesting their cyanide years ago. How have they survived?
They will share their secret discoveries that allowed them to survive with the second mission…only if they promise to cut off all communications with earth…until they mount their attack…
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tnt
257
WE HAVEN’T GOTTEN TO THE GOO PART YET!!!
I know what you are thinking…Martians…but no…it’s not Martians…it’s earthlings. Earthlings from…THE FUTURE!!!
Van Allen belts are nothing compared to the Van Winkle suspenders…
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Presumably that trend continues for successive missions? How will they keep their activities secret?
tnt
260
Not sure…but at some point the mars mission people have to attack the earth…in order to save it!!
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