Solid quarter. Going in to the fourth quarter, the magic number is 3.31. That’s what Q4 needs to be for us to achieve 2.95 (i.e. 3% when rounding up, though technically we’d need 4.1 to get actual 3%) for the year.
I’m late to the game, having been on hiatus. Kudos to Nebraska for pointing me to this thread.
Many thanks for your very educational OP. I had never given much thought to GDP calculations and your informative OP was of particular interest.
Armed with your information, I put together a comprehensive spreadsheet going back to 1947 quarterly and yearly GDP growth calculations using chained 2012 dollars. My calculations are pretty much dead on with reported numbers.
Using my spreadsheet, I’m guessing 4th quarter growth clocking in at close to 3% with a yearly GDP in the 2.93% range. That’s pretty close to your 2.95% projection.