Did the Democrat who won run on a liberal platform or on a moderate/conservatice platform?
This is an important question to try and make a prediction as to how the midterms might go.
I’m still sensing Democratic overconfidence thatbthey can go full bore lefty and get people to vote for them as an outcry against Trump. My sense of this is because this is how I saw many Dem candidates run in the primaries in Pennsylvania (yes I get there it’s Dem v Dem).
Don’t mistake a (relatively) low approval rating for Trump (considering how good things are in the economy right now, 40-45% is a low approval rating) with the idea that the voters are suddenly embracing full-on left wing ideology.
They vote GOP if you do that regardless of what they think of Trump.