Its going to have to compete with cooking the books on the Teacher’s union pension fund

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I just read the article.

Time will tell if the polls show Harris on an increasing trajectory.

I get the impression that if this does happen you will find more and more excuses to suddenly not trust poll results.

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So no different than the last four years then. Biden also campaigned as a “unifier” and proved to be the opposite, but at least he was somewhat credible at the time, Harris doesn’t have the capability to unify anyone other than the Democratic voters who were told she was their candidate.

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who said I trust them now? You have not seen anywhere that I have said Trump would win. I want him to, but I have said from the beginning this would be a close race and could be so close the whole thing could come down to NE2. I will continue to report exactly what the polls say and analyze it exactly as I have. Right now, I believe the race is reset to null with both sides having the advantage in the states where they naturally do and the battlegrounds pretty much at baseline. Harris has the momentum of exuberance. That won’t last any longer than Trumps lead would have from Biden’s bad debate which in my opinion was just about played out except he kept doing it and reenforcing Trump’s advantage. There was a top end on which states Trump could win outside the battlegrounds because of it, and it was likely VA. NM maybe, but that would have been it. Anything else would have been a stretch.

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I stand corrected and apologize (not being sarcastic).

I’m not optimistic that anyone will be able to unify us. Both sides are to blame which means one side or the other would have to give in and I simply don’t see that happening. The divide is so great now that nothing less than a national crisis at the magnitude of a world war could bring us together. The union is dead, it’s just not evenly divided up by land area like it was in 1860.

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Completely agree, there’s nothing that unites us as a nation. We’re just a bunch of people from various different countries and different cultures who just share a body of land. The political parties are further apart than they have ever been. Those on the Left and those on the Right want two very different countries.

more agreement. As I see it, the problem is hate. Those on the left hate the America we have and love the America they envision; a western socialist utopia of collective rights and responsibilities and cannot understand at all why anyone would not. While those of us on the right love the America we have, a republic of individual rights and responsibilities and hate the one they envision.

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cooks (accurate ratings) got it in the lean dem category.

come back and see me after the votes are counted and you will see that inam right once again.

Allan

New poll shows Harris leading above margin of error in PA/WI/MI.

PA +4
WI +9
MI +6

Don’t know much about this pollster, but same group had race a toss up 3-4 weeks ago.

Oh wow. If that’s the case we can cancel the election. :roll_eyes:

Nikki Haley famously said “the first Party to drop their old guy wins”.

One of the remarkable things about the last three weeks is that she was right. The polls have completely flipped and there is as strong a case that they will continue to move Harris’ direction and result in states like GA and NC and even FL becoming winnable for Dems when they were just a pipe dream in mid-July, as there is that this is some sort of “honeymoon”.

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my guess… ■■■■■■■■■ I checked their website, on the about page the pictures are all taken from the internet.

an activist group that wants you to join to see the content.

its like trump winning new Jerseys electoral votes.

peltola has a really good chance of maintaining her seat in congress.

Allan

If she makes it into the top four of the Primary she has a chance. So do the Republican candidates. There are more Republicans and conservative independents in this state than Democrats and liberal independents. Rank choice voting favors the majority philosophy.

Peltola won in 2022 because Palin came into the race with a full head of steam against Begich and completely ignored Peltola. Begich spent most of his campaign defending himself against those attacks. Palin so poisoned the race that Begich supporters refused to vote for her as their second choice, thus giving the final nod to Peltola. Dahlstrom and Begich will not repeat that mistake.

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Looking at their website I like the policies they are espousing. They want a return to sane politics and stop the lunatics on the fringes of both parties.

Is the honeymoon continuing?

https://www.axios.com/2024/08/12/harris-trump-economy-poll-2024-election

My distrust of polls remain but I am interested to see if some posters will start picking apart the polls if Harris continues to gain traction.

Shows you how poorly Biden was viewed. Trumps numbers didn’t change. The ‘neither’s’ switched to Harris…

I think that is exactly what is happening.

except they appear to be staffed with libertarian fringe