As more tests become available I expect this trend to continue.

https://twitter.com/tom_winter/status/1237449964084699136?s=21

This is trending today.

Why protective measures should be taken and why we should pay attention, even if the virus itself causes only mild illness in most people.

Because those metrics likely change if undue burden is placed on our health system.

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Massachusetts news

https://twitter.com/tom_winter/status/1237469856334778368?s=21

Not to mention increasing your exposure risk.

Im not a doctor, but why is Italy so bad? Did their corona virus mutate into a deadlier strain or something?

Follow up here.

https://twitter.com/liamwbz/status/1237463429675393026?s=21

I’m not sure either. Hopefully we will get some insight soon as to why.

They’re older, and they’ve reached the point where their ICU’s are overstretched.

Based on current transmission rates, the US can expect to have the same sort of numbers as Italy in 10-14 days. Though hopefully with a lower mortality rate.

That’s about when the cracks will start in US healthcare systems as well I think.

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Interesting. That would suggest that the more they can control the spread, the longer one will be exposed to the risk of contracting it. So if health officials do a good job, instead of self isolation for a few weeks, one may have to stay isolated for months.

Thanks for weighing in. This was my suspicion but I wasn’t certain here.

Yep. S.Korea appears to be bending the curve successfully. Japan too.

Everywhere else looks to be heading the same way Italy has.

I don’t know if this has been posted before. It really deserves its own thread, because it’s just another highlight of why voluntary quarantining just won’t work.

But since it can’t have it’s own thread, perhaps it will be noticed and commented on here and not lost in the shuffle of all the other topics being discussed at the same time in this thread.

More to the story:

Father denies he was told to quarantine, and of course his family has now been getting death threats - even before anyone knows if they’re going to catch the virus.

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I saw this. I was appalled. I live in MO so this hit our radar pretty quickly here. Asking people to self-quarantine when there is so much disinformation, misinformation, and overall downplaying of the severity of this by so many different sources that should be giving a consistent message inevitably leads to situations like this.

Yeah, pretty much.

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I just read this whole Twitter thread from an Italian Doctor. Pretty scary stuff. Be safe man!

https://twitter.com/silviast9/status/1236933818654896129?s=21

The duration of the risk is longer. The overall risk that you get it could be lessened.

Edited to add…if the healthcare system collapsed under the weight of cases, deaths would surely rise. So risk spread out over time is better, for the most part.

Thanks! Just one case so far in town and people are following the quarantine rules. The Army has checkpoints going in and out to the national highway systems. Reserve units are being activated.

And the military is going to provide whatever nurses and doctors they can spare to Lombardia. The healthcare system is teetering there as a result of sheer inundation of cases. It’s unreal.

I cannot imagine what it must be like. Scary stuff man. Good hygiene, be smart, and pray!

If one goes about a normal routine, yes, but if one is self-isolating, no. The longer the risk exists, the higher the likelihood that your isolation will fail.

The goal of self-isolation is so you don’t infect anyone.

Unless you’re talking about being in a vulnerable population.

Then yes a non-zero risk over a longer period of time could be a problem.

We’d have to mitigate against that as well…