Cook moves Iowa and Ohio to tossup (9/29)

mike_c_56 · 2020-09-29T17:44:13.511Z

Bodecea:

mike_c_56:

As a lifelong Buckeye, suburbs where I live still feel like Trump-land.
Lots of Trump flags and red hats.

If it’s anything like my neighborhood, anyone who puts up a Biden sign/flag is at risk of having rocks thrown thru their windows.

Yeah, we have some of those people in our neighborhood too.

highroller · 2020-09-29T17:45:26.629Z

TBF Trump was the first Republican to get more than 300 EC votes since the 80s…so maybe it looks like a landslide to him…

Safiel · 2020-09-29T17:54:40.199Z

en.wikipedia.org

List of United States presidential elections by popular vote margin

In a United States presidential election, the popular vote is the total number or the percentage of votes cast for a candidate by voters in the 50 states and Washington, D.C.; the candidate who gains the most votes nationwide is said to have won the popular vote. However, the popular vote is not used to determine who is elected as the nation's president or vice president. Thus it is possible for the winner of the popular vote to end up losing the election, an outcome that has occurred on five o...

It is telling that the only two worse popular vote performers were John Quincy Adams and the corrupt bargain election of 1824 and the Rutherford Hayes election of 1876, which frankly goes down as the one Presidential election that can be considered to have been outright stolen.

In the modern era, the biggest popular vote landslide belongs to Warren Harding in 1920, who had a popular vote margin of 26.17%. Lyndon Johnson won the biggest percentage of the popular vote, 61.05% in 1964.

The last true popular vote landslide was Ronald Reagan in 1984, with an 18.64% margin and 58.7% of the popular vote.

There will be no popular vote landslide in this election.

Electoral Vote landslides are not really telling, because, as Trump himself showed us, they can be run up while losing the popular vote nationwide.

Apocalypto · 2020-09-29T18:11:44.371Z

Georgia might be going blue this year.

https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1311005331770671105?s=21

Safiel · 2020-09-29T18:38:34.901Z

Georgia will be interesting for sure.

Image is from Dave Leip’s Atlas, 2016 results. For some reason, he reverses the traditional blue and red, so red is Democrats and blue is Republicans.

Those red counties turning deeper red is likely what will flip the State, if it indeed flips.

acsirip · 2020-09-29T18:40:20.759Z

Yes!!!

acsirip · 2020-09-29T18:41:36.256Z

Agree, my friend. People, don’t get complacent. Vote!

AmusedObserver · 2020-09-29T18:46:37.626Z

Smyrna:

The MSM and polls all said Hillary will win in a landslide…and yet she lost in an EC landslide. Now…here we are again and the same are feeding, the same are eating and regurgibleeting.

When will they ever learn? When willlllll they evvvver learn?

They didn’t say that, and she didn’t lose that way.

Why do you feel obligated to post in a thread about polling, when it’s very obvious you do not understand the topic at even the most rudimentary level? When will you ever learn? Will you ever learn?

Smyrna · 2020-09-29T20:01:18.916Z

GrandWazoo:

Well that didn’t happen. Trump took three states by less then 1%. It was a razor thin EC win.

306 vs 232…yeah…I know.

DougBH · 2020-09-29T20:12:09.519Z

Polls are looking great for Democrats.

Table-2016-Swing-State-Polling720×405 49.1 KB

Just like 2016.

Apocalypto · 2020-09-29T20:12:59.926Z

Showing polling from 2016.

DougBH · 2020-09-29T20:13:35.293Z

Smyrna:

GrandWazoo:

Well that didn’t happen. Trump took three states by less then 1%. It was a razor thin EC win.

306 vs 232…yeah…I know.

Perfectly willing to accept a razor thin edge win again this year.

DougBH · 2020-09-29T20:14:24.074Z

Apocalypto:

Showing polling from 2016.

Just to remind you how elated you were with the polls this time four years ago…and here you go again.
I don’t have the Trump undercount for 2020 yet.

Smyrna · 2020-09-29T20:50:25.847Z

Apocalypto:

Showing polling from 2016.

Showing you the sheople food you ate before and wondering why…you’re still munching.

AmusedObserver · 2020-09-29T20:59:00.559Z

DougBH:

Polls are looking great for Democrats.

Just like 2016.

Do you believe there’s going to be a James Comey swoop in at the last minute to hand your boy the election on a gold-plated platter again?

DougBH · 2020-09-29T21:00:41.318Z

I’m not saying Trump will win. I’m saying that last time Democrat’s elation over polls turned out to be a false high, and its possible that could happen again.

AmusedObserver · 2020-09-29T21:02:07.529Z

DougBH:

I’m not saying Trump will win. I’m saying that last time Democrat’s elation over polls turned out to be a false high, and its possible that could happen again.

Yes, of course it’s very possible that Trump will win, and based on the polls it wouldn’t be that shocking an outcome - just like 2016.

Nobody who has an understanding of polling or statistics is saying that this election is a certainty.

highroller · 2020-09-29T21:10:15.926Z

The way the news keeps breaking, it feels a lot more like Donald Clinton this time around.

mobiusptc · 2020-11-20T03:13:07.398Z

Smyrna:

GrandWazoo:

Well that didn’t happen. Trump took three states by less then 1%. It was a razor thin EC win.

306 vs 232…yeah…I know.

so…Biden won in an EC landslide also?

vaard · 2020-11-20T03:15:17.293Z

Well, if make all.of bidens votes illegal and only count votes for trump then trump csrried every state…

THAT’S a landslide!