Has Trump just exacerbated the “forever war” he said he was trying to get us out of?
Acording to Dagan, former head of Mossad:
U.S. officials from previous Administrations have said that Suleimani did not live as a well-guarded recluse like Osama bin Laden, in Pakistan, and the military could have killed him; but the U.S. decided that it was not worth provoking a large-scale retaliation. “Suleimani was lucky,’’ Meir Dagan, the former head of Mossad, the Israeli intelligence agency, once told me. “It’s important to be lucky.” (Dagan died in 2016.)
Iran will strike where US soldiers are not well protected.
Ever since the Trump Administration walked away from the nuclear deal signed under the Obama Administration, the U.S. and Iran have engaged in a series of provocative acts. By killing Suleimani, the Trump Administration has risked a wider, more unpredictable conflict, which could flare in many places and in many ways. It’s hard to imagine that the Iranian regime won’t respond to the American strike—it will feel that it has to. But where, and how? Maguire told me that the Quds Force has long specialized in two tactics: hostage-taking and truck-bombing. But the Americans are so well fortified in Iraq (and across the Middle East), and the American military presence in Iraq is so robust, that it’s more possible that the Iranians, if they decide to retaliate, will do so elsewhere. “It’s a better bet that they will choose another place—somewhere where the Americans are not as well protected,’’ he said.
I expect we’ll probably see more attacks in Europe, Israel, or other places where we have troops stationed. Nothing like giving them a legitimate reason and backing up their previous rhetoric. What better way to prove we aren’t like terrorists than to start acting like terrorists?
Not that tough to figure out. Impeachment. Trump does have a gift for changing the news cycle and that was the only thing that changed, changing the news cycle by making a big splash that his supporters will go wild for and jump right back into their neocon outfits.
The whole thing feels like it is rapidly spinning far out of this administrations ability to control.