How long is the normal trial and approval process?

On hydroxychloroquine, a doctor said this…

ā€œThis medication has major side effects including paranoia, hallucinations, suicidal thoughts, suppression of your blood counts so that you become more susceptible to infections. It can cause severe cardiac arrhythmias that can even cause death,ā€ she said.

ā€œThey are not common side effects, but they are common enough that this should not be taken willy-nilly. It is not like water, it is not harmless, and it may have major side effects.ā€

That 80% number for vent patients is about right based on my experience and that of colleagues I’ve talked to. The survival of those just being admitted to the hospital is actually pretty good. Can’t find numbers but it’s probably about the opposite of those on ventilators. So, across the board probably 75% of those admitted do just fine, likely higher. It’s really the development of ARDS which leads to being put on a vent that the determining factor for survival. As long as you don’t develop ARDS you do pretty well despite hospitalization.

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I pray this helps. I really do.

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China reported 97% of those on ventilators died a week or so ago.

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Why didn’t you also bold the ā€œFDA-approved usesā€ part? Those indications cover much more than what you seem to think they can be given for.

Those were initial numbers of the first patients. Numbers are currently slightly better. 80% isn’t all that great either.

And yet a much larger group in Britain showed it was about 50/50.

My posts were not meant to discourage this…in fact even the author of the New Yorker piece said it was imperative we have more tests and trials of the drugs because every trial that has reported out…the Marseilles one, the Paris one, and the China one…have had flaws.

Keep testing the drugs…but be realistic about it. And realize this thing does not follow any timetable we would like.

False hope is worse than no hope.

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Lol, most excellent.

Thanks for your response above.
When those doctors discussed this with CNN (I think it was Dr. Gupta) you could see the angst and sorrow, and tears, with their frustration that they can’t do more for their patients.
I’m just in awe of all of you who are putting your lives on the line every day to help all of us.

I’ll admit I’m terrified of contracting COVID and getting ARDS. Two years ago I had the flu and a mild case of pneumonia. I can handle the other symptoms of the flu, but gasping for air was the most scared I’ve ever been sick.
The stress right now has raised my BP a little, but I’m doing my best to self-isolate and take all precautions on my weekly trip for grocery stores.

Because of the new CDC guidelines I’ll now be wearing a mask when out getting groceries. It seems the virus hangs in the air much more than they thought, or were letting on, and that has added to my terror.

Nobody can get it without physician supervision and our doc’s who aren’t smart enough to know the contraindications have access to app’s on cell phones and tablets to warn them.

The Pharmacist who fills the script has the same built into their pharmacy software.

Nobody is getting it over the counter in this country legally.

At the 200mg prophylactic dose and 400mg treatment dose toxicity is almost unheard of except in patients with advanced kidney disease.

These are among the safest drugs ever produced.

I did some bench work during my phd with the endocytic pathway (fun times)…its so funny/weird seeing you talk about it. I mean, I assume you knew zero about this stuff until a couple of days ago, right? The internet is awesome.
@JayJay is right, btw.

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China isn’t exactly known for it’s great medical care.

They aren’t going to waste many resources on those with little chance of recovery.

China has an excess population already of more than 100 million and it’s expected to grow dramatically over the next decade as more of their production becomes automated.

The CCP has no respect for human life period, you’re nothing but a number to them.

Yes, let’s just let seriously and critically ill patients die while waiting on trials.

No thanks.

The first French study showed exactly the opposite when used in combination with Zithromax in severely and critically ill patients.

You’re being smart.

I was the same way at the start, but eventually calmed myself by realizing no matter what I did I couldn’t reduce the risk to zero that I might contract it (although I’m not so much worried about ARDS…granted this is a new virus to which I have never been exposed, but I have never had any virus that has ever gotten past my upper respiratory tract…and no history of that anywhere in my family either…I am counting on good genes to get me through it if I get it! At least it puts me in the proper mindset!)

I know that type of calming doesn’t work for everyone…I’m not sure what works for you, but stress and worrying about it isn’t good for you…so whatever your stress-relieving methods are, I can only encourage you to try them.

Thanks. I really feel like I’m just doing my job more than putting my life in danger, but the thought of becoming ill is always on my mind.

The frustration (in my opinion) comes from a couple sources. First, COVID-19 is so variable and can progress so rapidly. I’ve seen chest xrays and CTs that look horrible yet people are almost completely asymptomatic whereas other progress from normal imaging to ARDS to death in 48 hours. Age and underlying conditions help, but there’s no great way of predicting how someone will do.

Next is that we’re learning on the fly that the sepsis COVID-19 brings about has to be managed differently. Typically you give someone with sepsis plenty of IV fluids and intubate only as a last resort. With COVID-19 their lungs can’t handle fluids at all, so you have to purposefully ā€œkeep them dryā€ and put them on vents earlier than typical.

It would be great if we had any medications/treatments that were definitely effective. Right now we don’t. We’re giving them anything we think is reasonable even if there is no evidence. As of now, there is nothing I would say is very effective. That’s not much different from other ā€œseasonalā€ viral illnesses though.

Outside factors, such as wild claims as to ā€œcuresā€ or general disinformation really don’t play a part once it gets to the hospital. They don’t change what I or others do. It’s more background noise when I’m not working. The only times I care are when people claim we’re withholding medications which will miraculously save people or when people advocate things which are blatantly dangerous.

The thing to remember through all of this is that the majority of people, even people with risk factors, do just fine. If you’re wearing a cloth mask alone, I highly recommend you don’t wear it for extended periods of time and wash it frequently. A wet cloth mask is potentially more dangerous than no mask at all.

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Thanks Jay.
I’ve been inside mostly this past week due to cold/wet weather. It’s getting warmer and drier this week so I can get out to work on some yard improvements. That will get me away from the TV and nice fresh air. That’ll help some.
My big hobby (and stress reliever) since I retired six years ago is shooting at the local club/range and hanging out with my buddies there. That’s not possible now. The range is closed for who knows how long and when it re-opens there will need to be significant changes to how the range is run. Most of us who go during the week are 60-80 years old.

Sounds like Zoloft or any SSRI inhibitor.

Except hydroxychloroquine has been around a lot longer and studied more thoroughly for these side effects. They exist and are known.