Well, there’s always that—yeah.
But I’m really skeptical of China committing to a world-historical war any time soon. I can’t imagine they’re looking at Russia in Ukraine with much envy. Taiwan would be more difficult and risky, especially for a country that hasn’t fought an offensive war in 40+ years and a major war in 70+ years.
The more I read about the necessary scale of such an operation (the Chinese have famously studied D-Day, but this would be even bigger), the difficulty of Taiwan’s topography, the prospect of subduing and ruling a population of 23 million people largely concentrated in cities (i.e., endless urban warfare), etc., the less likely it seems to me. And that’s before we even get to US support.
Besides, China’s patient: they have decades to find more rational ways of ingesting Taiwan without preemptively blowing up the world. But who knows? It’s armchair stuff.
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