Canadian election watch (Justin Trudeau wins)

Politics
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Canadian federal election is tomorrow Monday Oct. 21.

Conserative are polling at 31.5%
Liberal are polling at 31.0%
NDP are polling at 18.8%
Greens are polling at 9.5%
Bloc are polling at 7.0%
PPC are polling at 1.8%

going to be a very close election between the two biggest parties, but the likelihood of a majority is under 10% so it will be zoo to see which of the two largest parties can gain enough support to create a government.

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Which would be the more likely coalition?

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at this moment Liberal-NDP is the most likely

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When will there be any news?

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result are starting to come in from the east coast.

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Will a Trudeau victory be forever tainted with the foreign influence of Obama’s endorsement

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Not really because less then 15% chance of him winning a majority, so the election really comes down to who the NDP support.

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Ontario is Canada’s “California” and is in the back pocket of Justin.
That’s tons of votes for anyone to try to overtake.

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Liberal have run a very bad campaign this year the NDP have really rallied we will see much of their base is taken.

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Liberal picking up all but 8 seats on the east coast.

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Liberal are taking the lead now up 44 seats to 14, polls just closed in most of Canada.

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So for us ignorants, what does that mean? Thanks.

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Liberals are projected to win a minorty govenment meaning they lack the 170 seat to form a government they are currently at 145 meaning they will need 15 people from other parties to support them.

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Thanks.

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The Conservative took all 33 seats in Alberta that is huge news and sign that Trudeau need to address the oil industry.

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Justin Trudeau and the Liberal party have won the election.

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As a minority government, an important caveat. :smile:

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I don’t see the Conservative getting enough support to push a vote of no confidence within the next 4
years.

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Perhaps, but a minority government is still a minority government.

Trudeau can’t simply push his priorities, he must compromise with his coalition partners in setting priorities.

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which I kinda of like because majority Trudeau was a horrible Prime Minister he bailed out on major election promises, Hopefully the NDP and other parties can hold his feet to the fire.

I know a lot of the smaller parties very much want election reform done.