Well let’s see, I used to be a successful real estate agent at one time so I think I know a thing or two about this. Like I said, I am spending around 80k and I have zero doubt I will be able to get 200k more than I paid for it. And yes, generally speaking building a pool isn’t a high return, But I am not building, just giving it a facelift, a run down existing pool can definitely drag a value down which is one of the reasons I was able to buy it so far under comparable properties. And it’s only one part of the reno. As for how much it will be worth in an economic downturn, houses in my area didn’t lose any value in the last great recession that was real estate centric, because they didn’t inflate much during the housing bubble. All that happened is they stayed flat for two years or so.
I know what houses are worth, it will be worth 200k more than I paid after I finish, good economy or bad.