Arizona & Florida are holding their primaries tomorrow.
The Republican Senate primary in Arizona and the Gubernatorial and Cabinet primaries for both parties in Florida are the highest profile contests.
Should make for quite an interesting few hours tomorrow night.
The United States Senate race in Florida will not be a factor tomorrow night. Bill Nelson is unopposed and Rick Scott faces only a non-entity in his primary.
There are a few Congressional primaries to watch in both Arizona & Florida.
The AZ Senate race here is very likely going to be between Dem Kyrsten Sinema and GOP Martha McSally. Martha McSally is way ahead in the polls over Kelli Ward and Arpaio. The hard right-wing individuals are going for Ward and Arpaio while the moderate conservatives are going for McSally.
Arpaio’s entering the race I think turned out to be very fortunate for Republicans, as it split the hard right vote between him and Ward, making it easier for McSally to win.
An interesting race, here in FL, is between Vern Buchanan (R) and the presumed (D) nominee, David Shapiro. (FL16) Buchanan is running 10 points ahead of Shapiro, but the ads running on TV are brutal, they’re hitting Buchanan hard. I believe the district went from likely R to lean R.
I honestly think Buchanan is in trouble.
I personally think it would take a very mighty Democratic wave in November to take that district. Not out of the question, but I think highly unlikely.
I already voted here. Even though I am no longer registered as Republican, I did vote with the Republican ballot. Independents in AZ here get to choose if they want to vote with the GOP ballot or the Democratic ballot. And I voted with the GOP ballot.
I agree, and her comments about McCain were beyond disgusting. Anyway, last I saw McSally had about a 20 point lead, so Kelli will hopefully fade into obscurity after tonight. And she can take Joe with her.
What I said is that Ward and Arpaio are attracting and splitting the hard right vote, while McSally is attracting a more moderate and establishment set of voters.
And Wards endorsers are clearly more conservative than McSally’s endorsers.
Ward has been endorsed (among others) by Sean Hannity, Laura Ingraham, Mark Levin, Rand Paul, Steve Bannon and such.
McSally has been endorsed (among others) by Mitch McConnell, John Kyl, Newt Gingrich, Jan Brewer and such.
You can generally judge the candidates ideology by those that are endorsing them.
Just had a magnitude 1 upset in the Florida Democratic Gubernatorial primary.
Candidate
Party
Votes Received
Andrew Gillum
DEM
508,705
34.19%
Gwen Graham
DEM
466,964
31.38%
Jeff Greene
DEM
150,150
10.09%
Chris King
DEM
37,075
2.49%
Philip Levine
DEM
302,347
20.32%
Alex “Lundy” Lundmark
DEM
8,557
0.58%
John Wetherbee
DEM
14,270
0.96%
AP has called this race for Gillum, who could potentially be Florida’s first black Governor. He is currently the Mayor of Tallahassee.
Gwen Graham was expected to win and was leading most of the evening, until returns started pouring in from Broward and Miami-Dade Counties, both having huge black populations.
Republicans actually just caught a big break at the very same moment they were shooting themselves in the foot. Republicans nominated the Trump-bot, rather than Adam Putnam, who was well prepared to be Governor.
But I think Gillum is a weaker candidate then Graham would have been.
Yeah, I was fully prepared to completely write off anybody that mentioned Trump in a positive manner, but given the other option is essentially a socialist, I may have to rethink that.
Yes, all the analysis I am hearing is saying much the same. Putnam was a more electable candidate, but with Ds going for Gillum deSantis has more of a chance.
Meanwhile Rick Scott could pull an upset in the Senate race. A lot of Floridians don’t even know much about Nelson, despite the fact he’s been their Senator for a long while.
Meanwhile In Arizona, McSally easily won and cleared over 50& of the vote. Hopefully that is the last we hear from Ward and Sheriff Joe, two people who would have been definite losers in November. McSally has a decent chance of holding the seat.