After months of telling people that they and their families would die if they voted in person, Democrats are rethinking their vote-by-mail push.
Some are rationalizing the change by blaming Republican for scaring people about the postal service:
A Democratic Party operative said that Trump "has succeeded in making people scared and distrustful of the post office. There were large swaths of voters who already weren’t sure about the post office, so people need to understand they have other options."
But the real reason appears to be a growing realization among campaign professionals that Democratic voters are much more likely to have problems filling out the ballot correctly and have it rejected. That is especially true if they have not voted by mail before:
- In Florida, voters are twice as likely to have their absentee ballot rejected if they’ve never voted that way before, University of Florida political science professor Dan Smith told Axios.
- In North Carolina, “Black voters’ ballots are being rejected at more than four times the rate of white voters,” per FiveThirtyEight. Overall, data shows new, younger, Black and Hispanic voters are more likely to have their ballots rejected.
In swing states such as Pennsylvania, greater use of vote-by-mail by Democrats in Philadelphia and Pittsburgh combined with the greater chance of invalid ballots could easily provide the margin of victory to Trump.
Are Democrats starting to panic about the vote-by-mail push that they created?